WhoBuilt

How do you calculate burn rate, runway and growth rate?

Jan 25, 2021· 6 min· 23K views·Watch on YouTube

Speaker

Tim Brady of Y Combinator explains how startup founders can calculate burn rate, runway, and growth rate, and how to describe revenue to investors.

Measure burn rate in cash

Burn rate is the cash going out each month minus the cash coming in. Brady stresses that it tracks cash flow, not expenses or revenue on paper: a customer who pays next year does not improve this month’s burn rate.

Estimate how much runway remains

Divide the cash in your bank account by your monthly burn rate to estimate how many months you have before running out. For example, $200 in cash and a $10 monthly burn rate gives 20 months of runway. When cash inflows or expenses vary, forecast them month by month, and review these metrics weekly.

Calculate compounded growth

Growth rate measures how quickly sales are increasing. Divide this month’s revenue by last month’s, subtract one, and express the result as a percentage; $150 after $100 is 50% growth. Over longer periods, use compounded monthly growth: revenue rising from $100 to $600 in six months is about 35% per month, not 100%.

Be clear about revenue type

For seasonal businesses, Brady says quarterly or annual growth may fit better than monthly growth, provided the calculation period is clear to investors. Subscription payments are recurring revenue, while one-off widget sales are non-recurring. Use MRR, or monthly recurring revenue, only when the revenue is recurring; investors value it for its predictability.

Takeaways

  • Track monthly cash in and out to calculate burn rate; booked revenue does not count until it is paid.
  • Divide cash on hand by burn rate for a quick runway estimate, and use a monthly forecast when cash flows vary.
  • Report longer-term growth as a compounded rate; $100 growing to $600 over six months is about 35% monthly.
  • Choose monthly, quarterly, or annual growth based on the business, and state the period clearly.
  • Call revenue MRR only when it is recurring.

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What was claimed 2

  • metric
    burn rate: Monthly cash going out minus cash coming in
    “Burn rate measures cash flow, not profit and loss.”
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    Unverified1 source· Talk
  • metric
    recurring revenue: Revenue from repeat payments; tends to be valued more highly than non-recurring revenue
    “recurring revenue tends to be valued more highly than non-recurring revenue”
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    Unverified1 source· Talk

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